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Official PDF TranslationFrontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering

MENTOR: a multi-agent framework for event and narrative trend prediction with optimized reasoning

Authors: Liyuan Chen; Gaoguo Jia; Dongsheng Gu; Jiangpeng Yan; Yuhang Jiang; Xiu Li; Xiaojun Zeng

DOI: 10.1631/FITEE_2500608Status: Verified Translated Edition
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Key Findings in This Report

• MENTOR introduces a multi-agent framework integrating teacher–student iterative reasoning for event and narrative trend prediction. • It outperforms existing baselines (StkFEP and SEP) in event prediction and industry ranking tasks on Chinese KOL and English financial news datasets. • Portfolio-level backtests demonstrate that MENTOR's improved forecasts translate into practical gains in investment performance. • The framework establishes a principled link between narrative dynamics and financial market outcomes through structured reasoning and multi-agent feedback.